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Friday, May 8, 2009

For the first time since October 2008 the benchmark Sensex of the Bombay Stock Exchange has closed beyond the 12,000. This achievement is not a sign of the fact that the country has came out of the worst economic storm in fifty years but its an indication that we’re at least getting there. Dalal Street can finally afford to give out a smile; restless traders can afford to wipe the sweat of their brow because the buyers are finally starting to return.
By no means should the last statement be interpreted as something which would lead someone to believe that a new bull market has been born .No, India is yet to reach that cornerstone just like the rest of the world.
By all indications it has become clearer that if a new global bull market has to start it has to first lay root in the BRIC countries.
The hectic activity on the Indian stock markets has resembled the highs and lows of a heart monitor. Many a time sellers have resorted to profit booking which has driven down the Sensex,a few months ago this was the predominant trend.
What we are now seeing is that when the sellers are making their move so are the buyers. The latter were reluctant a few months ago because everytime they tried to rally they were beaten down by the bears who were intent on profit booking alone.
Now that the impact of the recession has reduced just a little bit because governments have been pro active in making funding available, things are beginning to change.
The buyers are beginning to return and are slowly beginning to accept market risk. They’re willing to shell out their money towards investments. If over a period of time this trend continues then we can say that a bull market has indeed been born.
The Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange have both seen the return of FII’s.Moreover,the most encouraging fact about the recent spike in the Sensex has been due to the participation of the big Mutual Fund houses.
The very same institutions that pressed the ‘sell’ trigger a few months ago leading to a massive drop in the Sensex and the nifty.
What could spoil the party is the perception that this is only a ‘fake rally’. A phrase often used by bearish traders; it indicates that the situation is just as worse as before or getting even worse and this rally is just a sentimental one or a ‘rebound’. If indeed it’s true then it would be a sad event. The chances of this spike being a ‘fake rally’ are low but its possibility cannot be ruled out entirely.
It is now up to companies themselves to create an easy demand situation in the market. Now that the markets have cooled off they can concentrate on making sure that they break the last line of defense of a recessionary economy by making it easier for the consumer to get back to spending his money.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

IPL LOSER DECCAN CHARGER ACTUALLY TURNED PROFITABLE LAST YEAR

The company has spun an EPS of Rs 30.9 for the period from 10 April 2008 to 22 January 2009.
Last year's Indian Premier League underdog was not exactly an underdog as far as the financials are concerned. Deccan Chargers Sporting Ventures, the firm behind the Deccan Chargers cricket team of Hyderabad at IPL, has turned in profits in the first year of formation. The firm, which is a subsidiary of publicly listed media firm Deccan Chronicle Holdings, has been recently put up for sale. KPMG is advising the parent on the sale. Around 20% stake in Deccan Chargers is held by Group M, the media arm of the ad conglomerate WPP.
According to a financial report( of VCCircle) of Deccan Chargers, , the cricketing company has spun an earnings per share of Rs 30.9 on shares having par value of Rs 10 each for the period from 10 April 2008 to 22 January 2009. That is not a bad thing since the team ended up at the bottom of the table in the debut edition of domestic 20:20 cricket tournament last year.
According to the financial report, the firm earned a total income of Rs 56.6 crore for the reporting period of which Rs 24 crore came as 'income from franchisee rights' while sponsorship fees brought in Rs 15.8 crore. Income from ads and ticket sales brought in another Rs 16.4 crore and there was other income worth Rs 40 lakh.
As against this, players' cost was pegged at Rs 22.7 crore. Operating and other expenses totalled Rs 13.39 crore and depreciation was at Rs 17.12 crore. The firm clocked PBT of Rs 3.15 crore and carried forward Rs 2.05 crore as PAT to the balance sheet.
Details for other teams of IPL is not in the public domain.
However, what is to be looked at is how the firm has funded the fee the firm would have paid to BCCI for the franchisee rights. The books show unsecured loans worth Rs 385.23 crore as amount payable to BCCI towards franchisee rights acquired last year. The franchisee rights were acquired by Deccan Chargers Sporting Ventures for Rs 428.04 crore.
DECCAN CHARGERS P&L:Income from Franchisee rights- Rs.24 cr.
Sponsership Fees- Rs.15.8 cr.
Income from ads & ticket sales- Rs.16.4 cr.
Other Incomes- Rs.0.4 cr.
TOTAL INCOME- Rs.56.6 cr.
Players Cost- Rs.22.7 cr.
Operating & Other Expenses- Rs.13.3 cr.
Depreciation- Rs.17.1 cr.
Preliminary Expenses w/off - Rs.0.2 cr.
TOTAL EXPENDITURE- Rs.53.4 cr.
PROFIT BEFORE TAX- Rs.3.1 cr.
PROVISION FOR TAX- Rs.1.1 cr.
PROFIT AFTER TAX- Rs.2 cr.
EARNING PER SHARE- Rs.30.9

Monday, April 20, 2009

FIXED INCOME INVESTING - BY BENJAMIN GRAHAM

I came across an interesting article on "fixed income value investing". A larger part of this text has been taken from Benjamin Graham's popular books - Security Analysis and The Intelligent Investor.
Two paragraphs I particularly liked :
1. "It's our argument that a sufficiently low price can turn a security of temperance quality into a sound investment opportunity - provided that the buyer is informed and experienced, and that he practices adequate diversification."
2. On the topic of diversification, Graham makes an interesting connection between investing and insurance. He notes that any individual security purchase may not prove profitable, even if the margin of safety is present at the time of purchase.
Graham says, "The margin guarantees only, that he has a better chance for profit than for loss - and not that loss is impossible. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. That is the simple basis of the insurance under-writing business."

FINANCIALS OF IPL : A PERSPECTIVE

Alchemy released a report on the economics involved for teams participating in the IPL. I have heard a lot about franchisees overpaying for teams, players, rights ... and blaming BCCI for being non-transparent. Incidentally BCCI has itself called on franchisees to be patient and enjoy the fruits of their investment (read : ROI) after 3-4 years. Alchemy's report paints an optimist picture of the T20 cricket league and explains how much BCCI, the franchisees and supporting institutions (like Sony for media rights) tend to gain from the venture.Surprisingly, the report claims that an individual franchisee will be profitable from year 1 onwards , scoring an EBIT of Rs. 4 crores. A bulk of the revenue (Rs. 90.2 crores) will come from global media rights (Rs. 25 crores) a mere ten second commercial on Sony sells for at least $6000, supported by ticket sales (15 crs), lead sponsor (15 crs) and in-stadia advertising (10 crs). From the cost angle, the franchisee cost takes the wind out of the financials with a Rs. 40 crs charge followed by player acquisition cost (Rs. 24 crs). The assumptions have not factored a number of things like cost of capital, or financing of the acquisition cost, or trading of players etc. But the investment for Sony seems to have paid off, for this season alone they’re expected to make about fifty million dollars. These things happen a lot in soccer leagues around the world (Real Madrid finds it hard to survive until they have purchased the most expensive player in the world; am not sure where Jose Mourinho is headed but expect some big signings there too)The report has drawn a number of parallels between the English Premier League (with two clubs - Tottenham Hotspurs and Arsenal) and the IPL. Not to mention, a number of these EPL teams are also listed on the stock exchange. Manchester United was listed in the London Stock Exchange (1992) at GBP 47 million. In 2005, American businessman Malcolm Glazer acquired a controlling interest in the club in a takeover valuing the club at approximately £800 million (approx. $1.5 billion) .Perhaps, IPL is the alchemist's secret portion afterall !

Friday, April 10, 2009

VOTER ID CARD REGISTRATION ONLINE IN INDIA: EASY & FREE

In India, Voter ID card is important Identity document for lots of work. You can get your Voter ID card easily by filling online application form.
Here is the website for online registration for voter ID card- Jaagore.com (on clicking the link you will visit at Form filling page).
After submitting the form you will get pdf copy of your filled application, that you need to take printout. After taking print out, you need to submit this printed copy to your nearest local Electoral Registration Officer (ERO) with xerox copy of other ID card and proof of residence.Find your nearest ERO office here.
The address proof document is required for the BLO (Booth Level Officer) to come and verify your residence status. Therefore, it is not essential for the address proof document to have your name, but needs to have only the address of the place you are staying at.
You can use address proof document on the name of your parents, relatives, friends etc. with whom you are staying. During address verification, the person whose name appears on the address proof document needs to confirm that you are staying at the same address.
Full answer of all FAQs about voting is here. After this, your job is over, Voter ID card will be ready after few days of submission of application.
Currently there is no requirement for Voter ID card for voting purpose (for 2009 Election), only your name should be there on voter list. Some state governments like Andhra Pradesh has provided the list of name of people on voter list online here.
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